The big picture about the Ukraine-Russia conflict

 It's about geopolitics, finance and a new global Empire

SL Kanthan

Jan 26

What we are witnessing in Ukraine is bigger than World War II, but it’s just one component of a sophisticated and hybrid war, which is being waged in a contained manner across the spectrum of geopolitics, economy, finance, technology and, of course, military. It’s like those nuclear fusion experiments where the plasma is 100 million degrees hot, but nothing melts down. Whatever happens in this war, it will radically change the world. Thus, it’s critical to get beyond the mainstream narratives-for-dummies and understand the true nature of these epochal struggles.

World at a Tipping Point

Looking at the very big picture, the world is at a crossroads. The 500-year-old Western domination — that started with Europeans landing in the Americas — is now coming to an end.

More importantly, the leader of this pack, the USA, is losing its preeminence rapidly. American Century is coming to an end. In fact, it ended in 2008, but the economy has been kept alive with printing of trillions of dollars, euphemistically called quantitative easing (QE). However, the rest of the world is ready to pull the plug on the American dollar.

That’s what the Ukraine war is all about — saving the American world order and extending Pax Americana.

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The USA is hoping for an escalated proxy war that destroys Russia, which will then be occupied by US military and ruled by pro-US puppets. Repeat of what happened to Europe, Germany, Japan etc. after WW2 or to South Korea a decade later.

Why is America’s hegemony threatened? Because it is losing its advantage in every geopolitical sphere — GDP, trade, manufacturing, technology, military, and even soft power.

The final nail in the coffin will be the loss of dollar hegemony, after which America’s decline will be quite precipitous.

As Credit Suisse’s financial guru Zoltan Pozsar wrote about the great power conflict in a Financial Times article, “If less trade is invoiced in US dollars and there is a dwindling recycling of dollar into Treasuries, the “exorbitant privilege” that the dollar holds as the reserve currency could be under assault.”

In his other articles, Zoltan goes on to say, “President Xi’s visit with Saudi and GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) marks the birth of the petroyuan. By 2025, the GCC may be paid in renminbi for all of the oil and gas.”

To add fuel to the fire, everyone seems to be on a trajectory to reject the US dollar. India is buying Russian oil for Rupees and Yuan; Brazil and Argentina — two largest economies in Latin America — are discussing a “common currency” for trade; and Putin is talking about BRICS+ creating a currency based on commodities.

Meanwhile, the United States will be spending $800 billion this year on just interest payments on its untenable debt.

U.S. trade deficit for goods will be $1.2 TRILLION in 2022. Meanwhile, China had a record trade surplus of $877 billion. Which economic model is sustainable?

Solution for USA? Wars and Chaos

The only solution for the US to extricate itself out of this spiraling crisis is war. That is, wars where others destroy themselves.

In 2015, George Friedman, the founder of the powerful think tank Stratfor gave a speech where he described America’s “primordial interest” — Russia and Germany. He went on to explain why: “Germany and Russia, if united, can threaten the USA.” Of course, he was referring not to the USA itself but to its hegemony. Later on, he gave more details: Russia’s natural resources combined with German technology and capital will be a powerful symbiosis.

In short, this is why the Ukraine war is happening.

Friedman did not mention China in his speech because, in 2015, even the greatest American minds did not see the rise of China. (That’s what racism did to the American brain).

So, now the US has two primordial interests:

  • Russia and Germany

  • China and Asia

The plan is to take care of Russians first. And then to target the Chinese.

Target Russia

Russia will the biggest prize for the globalists. And it has been for centuries. Russia is the largest country on earth — twice as large as the USA! Russia’s natural resources are immense and worth about $75 trillion. Once processed, the value will be a magnitude higher.

European bankers like the Rothschild family funded Napoleon in the 18th century to invade Russia. Then the British and the French attacked Crimea, the geographical and geopolitical soft belly of Russia.

Five decades after that, Wall Street baron Jacob Schiff — another Rothschild banker — funded Japan to destroy the Russian naval fleet. Then, a decade later, Schiff and European bankers funded the communist revolution to overthrow the Russian Tsar. However, when their man Trotsky didn’t get to lead the newly formed Soviet Union, the cabal funded Hitler to invade Russia.

When the USSR collapsed and Russians embraced American-style “capitalism and democracy,” the wolves of Wall Street pillaged Russia for a decade. Meanwhile, the CIA funded jihadists in Chechnya to blow up Russian oil/gas pipelines. The goal was to chop up Russia and make sure it never rises again. However, Putin came in and ended this treachery.

Now, Germany (and the EU) is waging a war against Russia for the third time in a century.

“We are fighting a war against Russia,” declared recently Baerbock, the German foreign minister.

She’s a good puppet, unlike the German defense minister who refused to send tanks to Ukraine and was quickly fired by Washington DC few days ago.

Suicidal Europe

How stupid and spineless are European leaders? The suicidal mission is astonishing.

WW1 was the first attempt to destroy the traditional empires and create a new world empire run by bankers and corporations. That was only a partial success. Hence WW2, which destroyed Europe and brought it directly under the American rule with NATO and US military bases.

The European Union gave an immense opportunity for Europe to rise again peacefully. However, that lasted not even a decade. After the Wall Street-fueled financial crisis exploded in 2008, Europe’s economy has grown about… 0%. Thanks to this stagnation, India has surpassed the UK and France in GDP; and China’s economy is larger than that of the entire EU!

Europe has become basket case. In technology, they have developed nothing equivalent to American giants like Google, Amazon, Facebook, Netflix, Microsoft, Intel and so on. There are a couple of niche players like the Dutch ASML that makes semiconductor equipment, but they don’t have any sovereignty and act like American subsidiaries.

All the European countries and companies meekly obey the US diktats such as, “Don’t buy Huawei 5G,” “Don’t sell semiconductor machines to China,” “Don’t join China’s Belt and Road Initiative,” and “Start a war with Russia.”

The US can blatantly spy on European elites, destroy the Middle East and send millions of refugees to Europe, or blow up the Nordstream pipeline… and Europeans stay mum. Pathetic!

How Does This End?

Ukraine, the geopolitical pawn, will be destroyed. That’s given. How about the others?

Nobody is going to back off, since each one faces a unique existential crisis.

Russia is not going to give up the territories it captured in Ukraine. Russia needs to secure Black Sea and neutralize Ukraine once and for all. Putin will use nuclear weapons before he lets globalists take over Russia, balkanize it, and erase it from history.

The US is not going to stop the proxy war, since it’s an existential crisis for the American Empire. Russia’s victory means the surge of a multipolar world that is now nascent, and end of the dollar hegemony as well as the American Century.

Thus, the US will keep escalating — sending more tanks, drones, rocket launchers, long-range missiles, missile defense systems, and even fighter jets. America’s hope is a long war of attrition that will weaken Russia and de-industrialize Europe. This means more money for the US military industrial complex and oil/gas companies, great discounts for Wall Street to buy European companies, and emigration of Europe’s best minds to America.

The U.S. motto is “Fight Russia till the last Ukrainian.” However, the big question is if NATO troops will fight Russia after the last Ukrainian.

This proxy war is also an existential crisis for China. Why? If Putin fails and is replaced by a pro-US puppet, suddenly 6000+ Russian nukes will be pointing at China. Ergo, it’s not an impossible scenario in which China affirms the “no-limits partnership” and starts sending weapons to Russia.

That’s why the art/painting below went viral in China. It shows China and Russia facing the US and its European allies (vassals):

Then we are talking about Russia + China against USA + Europe. Does that sound like WW3?

Similar to the nuclear fusion experiment, Western elites are playing with extreme situations. The tiniest misstep will have devastating repercussions.

— S.L. Kanthan

 

 

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(Source: slkanthan.substack.com; January 26, 2023; https://tinyurl.com/2oz7q2ub)
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